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Covered Warrants I

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20. Basic analysis V (premium)

In practice, warrants will not trade simply at their intrinsic value. Investors will be willing to pay extra for the benefits which warrants provide, most obviously the gearing. This extra amount is called the warrant’s time value – and is sometimes regarded as the warrant’s speculative value.

Time value is sometimes referred to as premium which is normally expressed as a percentage as follows:

For call warrants

Premium (%) = (warrant price x cover ratio) + exercise price - asset price x 100
asset price

Example

asset price 80p, exercise price 100p, warrant price 2p, cover ratio 5:1.
Premium (%) = (2p x 5p) + 100p - 80p x 100
80p
Premium = 37.50%

For put warrants

Premium (%) = (warrant price x cover ratio) + asset price - exercise price x 100
asset price

Premium calculator
Warrant price   p
Cover ratio    
Asset price   p
Exercise price   p
Call warrant    %
Put warrant    %

In general, the lower the premium, the cheaper the warrant.

This is because the underlying asset must rise (or fall for puts) by a percentage equal to the premium over the remaining life of the warrants for the warrants to justify their current price. The reason the asset must move by this amount is that the premium will disappear over the remaining life of the warrant.

Warrant premiums



Time value
By definition the warrant is worth only its intrinsic value at expiry, which means the premium diminishes to zero as time passes.

The time value of a warrant



Break-Even Point

In view of the diminishing premium, the asset price must usually grow for a warrant purchaser to avoid a loss. It is a simple matter to calculate the point which the underlying asset needs to reach by the maturity date of the warrants for an investment to break even.

The break-even point is usually expressed as an annual required rate of change in the underlying asset. This annualised rate of change is useful for warrants with a life of one or two years, but is more difficult to interpret once the maturity drops to below a year. Its use might therefore be restricted on many occasions to new issues.

Break-even point calculator
Exercise price   p
Price paid   p
Cover ratio    
Call warrant     
Put warrant     

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