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24

23. Performance measurement

One of the areas clubs and investors should not overlook is the importance of accurate performance measurement. In other words, measuring how well your investments are doing compared to each other and compared to the market as a whole.

  1. Measure the whole performance

    Remember that the 'total return' of a share consists of two things: the income you receive in dividends, and the capital growth that comes with an increase in the share price.

    If you only take account of capital growth, your investing will naturally lean towards low yield shares - those that pay small or low dividends - and miss out on the benefits of receiving and reinvesting dividends.

    So always calculate total return.

  2. Take timing into account

    When calculating total return you need to take into account the 'time value of money'. This is an easy concept with a grand name. It simply refers to the fact that £100 received today is worth more than £100 received in a year's time, because if you get £100 today you can invest it and in a year's time it will have become, say, £105.

    Applying this principle to shares - an investment that produces income and capital growth quickly is a better investment than another one which produces the same return more slowly.

    When measuring the performance of different shares in your club's portfolio, the treasurer should keep a record of each share showing its buying costs, dividends received and potential selling proceeds. Then, using a method called 'Discounted Cash Flow' (DCF,) he discounts these returns for time, and ends up with a single percentage figure representing the annualised performance of the share.

    The main value of DCF is that it enables you to compare the performance of each share on a like-by-like basis. If the DCF percentage of one share is 20.46%, that is better than any share with a lower figure and worse than any with a higher figure. Essentially, it involves discounting (i.e. reducing) the value of future earnings to represent their value now.

  3. Benchmarking

    The question of whether you have done well or badly in the stock market can really only be answered by comparing your returns with the market average, or 'benchmark indices'. It's not the absolute performance that counts, it's the relative performance:

    • if you achieve a total return of 6% on your portfolio, and the market average is 11%, you haven't done very well
    • if you achieve a total return of 3% on your portfolio, and the market average is -4%, you have done well.

    To remind members of this point, one of the useful things that club treasurers can do is present monthly statistics showing how well the portfolio has done compared with, say, the average unit trust. Click here for an example of the kind of benchmark report that the Treasurer might produce.

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